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Thursday, January 5, 2012

Indian stock market and companies daily report (January 05, 2012, Thursday)


Indian markets are expected to open lower following negative cues from the European markets and the Asian markets. Asian stocks are trading in the red after Italy’s biggest bank said it needs to raise more capital, spurring concern that the European debt crisis is worsening.
Indian shares ended a choppy session modestly lower on Wednesday, with key benchmarks indices losing less than half a percent each, as investors took some profits after a two-day rally.
European shares snapped a four-day streak of gains on Wednesday as UniCredit SpA’s plan to sell shares fueled concern that banks need to raise capital to weather the debt crisis. US market traded lower in the first half due to profit taking, with some traders cashing in on Tuesday's strong gains amid lingering concerns about the European debt crisis and the outlook for the global economy. The downward momentum was partly offset by the release of a report from the Commerce Department showing a rebound in new orders for U.S. manufactured goods, leading to US markets ending marginally in the green.

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 15,903/4,754 levels. If NIFTY trades above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally up to 15,984 - 16,086/4,779 - 4,808 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 15,903/4,754 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to 15,802 - 15,721/4,725 - 4,700 levels.

Cement Dispatches – December 2011
UltraTech reported cement dispatches for December 2011, which were up by strong 10.6% yoy to 3.62mn tonnes. However, for 3QFY2012, growth in dispatches has been modest at 5.9%. In December 2011, the company managed to post better growth in dispatches compared to Ambuja Cements' growth, which reported modest growth of 5.7% yoy. We continue to remain Neutral on UltraTech.

KEC International secures orders worth Rs.1,253cr
KEC International (KEC) has bagged orders totaling Rs.1,253cr across various business verticals. In the transmission and distribution space (T&D), the company secured orders worth Rs.976cr. Order intake in MENA region stood at Rs.414cr (Rs.310cr and Rs.104cr worth of orders from Saudi Arabia and Afghanistan, respectively). SAE Towers secured orders worth Rs.154cr. In addition, Rs.350cr worth of orders came from the U.S., Kenya and Philippines. Notably, only one order came from the domestic T&D space (Rs.59cr), thus demonstrating the company’s globally diversified strength. The completion time of all these orders ranges from 12-27 months. In addition to the above, the company bagged orders in the business verticals of water (Rs.123cr), cables (Rs.105cr) and telecom (Rs.49cr). The current order book of the company stands at Rs.9,000cr.
KEC’s globally diversified model has enabled it to gain an edge over its domestic peers in the T&D space. While domestic players have struggled to secure orders amid the slowdown, KEC has consistently maintained its average quarterly run rate of Rs.1,200 since the past several quarters. In addition, new businesses of water, railway and telecom are faring well (pace of new orders is gradually increasing). Hence, given the latent potential of the company and healthy return ratios (25%), the valuations of 4.3x FY2013E EPS (well below its historic PE multiple average of 14.0x) are compelling. We recommend Buy with a target price of Rs.45.

Economic and Political News
- Government defers decision on PSU disinvestment via buyback-
- Finance Ministry rules out floating rates in postal savings
- Global food prices expected to remain high: FAO

Corporate News
- ONGC finds four more potential reserves
- Bosch to invest Rs.3,000cr in India on expanding capacity
- Hero MotoCorp unveils three new products at Auto Expo, New Delhi
- TCS adds 200 clients on its SME platform iON
- Dhanlaxmi Bank raises NRE term deposit rates


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